WESTERN ONTARIO — Environment Canada modelling suggests Western Ontario and Southwestern Ontario will see a warmer harvest but a wetter September and average precipitation for October and November.
Temperatures will be more than likely above seasonal overall, and likely a little drier in the Sarnia area,” Environment Canada meteorologist Steve Flisfeder said Aug. 27, referring to the September, October and November period.
“If you’re closer to Lake Ontario, it’s kind of a 50/50 chance of being above or below average precipitation,” Flisfeder said. “But if you head towards Lake Huron and Lake Erie, it’s looking like a bit more of a drier fall.
“But it’s not anything concrete,” he warned, suggesting that forecasts more than seven days out should be “taken with a grain of salt.”
Southwestern Ontario saw temperatures 1 to 2 degrees above normal in June, while July was “pretty much bang on with climatological norms,” the meteorologist said. August was 1 to 2 degrees above average.
The region saw above-average rainfall in June (25 to 75%) and July (25 to 50%) but fell 10 to 25% short in August.