Millions of people will not die of starvation if the U.S. ends the war and goes home
James Pascual
Farmers Forum
The Strait of Hormuz is on the other side of the world, yet conflict there will now cause food shortages, and likely famine, in poor countries of the world in 2027, according to a food analyst.
In Canada and the United States, fuel and food prices will continue to climb higher. But the concern is that poor people in poor countries could die by the millions if Israel and the United States don’t end the Iran War soon.
At home, Ontario farmers had only 10 per cent of their fertilizer needs in early spring and paid 50 % more over last year’s price for the rest. Who is responsible for this mess? You can blame Iran but Iran closed the strait in retaliation to American bombings that included killing 160 children in a school.
With the Hormuz waterway closed it means 25 % to 30 % of the world’s fertilizer needs are not getting to market. The most common fertilizer affected is urea, which is used to make nitrogen. But also 20 % of the world’s oil and 25 % of natural gas consumption passes through the Strait of Hormuz.
While Canadian farmers now have the fertilizer they need not every country does. Even if the war ended today, significant supplies of oil and fertilizer will not make it to market in time.
According to Food Forensics author, naturalnews.com founder and consumer health advocate Mike Adams on May 5 in a podcast discussion with former Lt. Col. Daniel Davis, “We are already in a dire situation” in that millions of people in poor countries will face starvation.
People are only now waking up to realize that the North American food supply depends on fertilizer coming out of the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf, Adams said. He noted that U.S. soils are depleted of nutrients and that means for a fertilizer hungry crop like corn, if a farmer decreases his normal fertilizer input by 10 per cent, yield could drop by 30 per cent. That’s why some U.S. farmers are switching from corn to soybeans, he said.
It doesn’t look like there is a solution in site to open the strait, Adams said. “If this goes on much longer, that is a few more months , then it becomes catastrophic on a global scale. But I want to be clear. The countries that will be most impacted by this are countries that already have tens of millions of people who are marginally on the edge of famine, even in a good year.”
These countries include Yemen, Sudan, India, Egypt and Bangladesh.
“The world is already going to face starvation of millions in 2027 And that number could grow to tens of millions or hundreds of millions if the strait is not opened soon.”
As an example of how dire this is, you can only create nitrogen in a process using natural gas and 25 % of natural gas is also held up by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, Adams said.
Consider that half of the world’s population, say about 4 billion people, are only living today because of this natural gas process to create nitrogen fertilizer, he said.
So, closing the Strait of Hormuz for many months will be like shutting down food markets and grocery stores in poor countries. According to Adams, in a recent column titled The Coming famine: Why millions will starve in 2027, “If the Strait of Hormuz accrues many more months of wartime closure, millions of people will starve to death. Not because of a drought of a plague, but because a small group of men in Washington and Tel Aviv chose war over peace.”
He added that the strait’s closure is cutting off food to vulnerable countries causing a food system collapse in slow motion. “This is not an accident,” he writes. “It is a deliberate, engineered famine.”
Israel started the war by persuading the United States to bomb Iran into submission. It didn’t work. The U.S. could end the war today if it simply packed up and went home. It is widely understood that Israel practically runs U.S. foreign policy due to its lobbyist funding of senators and representatives in the House.
As countries now line up against Israel and the United States, former U.S. Col. Douglas McGregor argues that American aggression has cost the United States its status as the world’s dominant superpower.
Thailand-flagged cargo ship attacked in the Strait of Hormuz on March 11, 2026.
Some economists argue that if the war were to end tomorrow the economy would
return to pre-war levels in about two years. If the war continues for months recovery
could take five to 10 years.
